Telecom deal value leaps in Q1 2024 – report

BY Richard Summerfield

Amid a period of upheaval in the telecommunications sector, companies are turning to M&A to drive their business forward, according to analysis by Bain & Company. Integrated telcos are becoming disaggregated and narrowly focused business models are emerging, altering the telecommunications landscape.

With this shift, M&A deal value in the telecommunications space spiked in the first quarter of 2024, as some telcos increased scale and others expanded in adjacent sectors such as finance and insurance, according to Bain.

Indeed, deal value increased significantly from around $2bn in Q1 2023 to almost $21bn in Q1 2024. Though the figure is down from $35bn in Q4 2023, a single deal - Telecom Italia’s $23.3bn agreement to sell its fixed network business to KKR - accounted for two-thirds of that quarter’s value. By comparison, the largest announced transaction in Q1 2024 was a scale deal which saw Swisscom agree to acquire Vodafone Italia for $8.7bn and merge it with Swisscom’s Italian subsidiary Fastweb.

Europe has been the focal point of many industry transactions in recent years, driven by in-country scale deals and infrastructure divestments. Scale deals accounted for slightly more than half of global deal value in the first quarter of the year, a notable shift from each of the past two years, when this category made up less than a quarter of deal value. Infrastructure divestments dominated telecom M&A from 2019 to 2022, but high interest rates and other macroeconomic challenges have reversed that trend of late.

According to Bain, factors such as fibre network consolidation will likely spur deals going forward. Brazil and the US are some of the largest markets where such consolidation is expected to occur. Likewise, enterprise services and other higher-growth segments are set to attract deals, with private equity firms expected to be among the most active dealmakers.

News: Telecom M&A: Here Are the Latest Deal Trends Worldwide

Tech investment in Asia rapid in 2022, reveals new report

BY Fraser Tennant 

Tech investment has grown to represent the majority of private capital activity in Asia, even amid the global correction in 2022, according to a new report by the Global Private Capital Association (GPCA).

In its ‘2023 Trends in Global Tech’ data report – which examines some of the contours of the changing tech investment landscape with a focus on emerging trends and cross-border insights – the GPCA states that investment in tech across China, India and Southeast Asia has steadily expanded since 2017.   

“While Asia was not immune to global tech and venture corrections in 2022, tech remained a dominant theme for private capital investors in the region,” said Ethan Koh, Asia Research Director at GPCA and co-author of the report. “Despite a pullback from 2021 highs, tech investment was on par with pre-pandemic levels at $146bn in 2022.

Of all the investment activity in Asia, the GPCA notes that it is Chinese investment in deep tech that received the lion’s share of interest from investors in 2022, accounting for 71 percent of deal value (up from 40 percent in 2020).

In comparison, investment in China in other tech areas was much less prolific, with enterprise software & IT services receiving 16 percent of capital investment and consumer tech 8 percent.    

Additional key findings in the report include: (i) Western and Chinese money is moving to Southeast Asia; (ii) over half of 2022 deals include US or European investors; (iii) Chinese investors now participate in one quarter of Southeast Asian tech deals; (iv) consumer tech and FinTech dominate investment landscape in Southeast Asia; and (v) deep tech is benefitting from regulatory shifts and growing investment from local and international investors alike.

However, according to Rebecca Xu, co-founder and managing director of Asia Alternatives and a contributor to the report, despite a decisive shift toward deep tech, many investment opportunities in this key area remain untapped.

“Deep tech is underdeveloped, like consumer tech was 15 years ago,” said Ms Xu. “There are not many fund managers who have established a proven track record in deep tech. With plenty of room for development, finding professionals who have experience and specialised expertise involving science and technology is more essential than ever.”

Report: ‘2023 Trends in Global Tech’

Cyber security: recession proof?

BY Richard Summerfield

Amid ongoing economic and geopolitical challenges, the cyber security sector remains strong, according to a new report from ICON Corporate Finance.

Thus far, the sector is proving recession-proof and remains a growth area, defying current troubling macroeconomic headwinds. As such, the cyber security sector is leading the way for M&A and fundraising activity in 2022, with deal activity for Q1-Q3 up 60 percent compared to 2020 for M&A and up 22 percent for fundraising.

The report notes that going forward, enterprises must recognise that they must continue investing in cyber defences regardless to protect against an increasingly sophisticated threat landscape, and because of significant geopolitical and economic uncertainty. This, in turn, is acting as a catalyst for M&A and fundraising deal activity.

According to ICON, the first three quarters of 2022 saw 353 cyber security M&A deals, with a total value of $125bn. As a result, the sector is on track to surpass pre-coronavirus (COVID-19) levels. With vendor platform consolidation, largely backed by private equity, being a chief driver behind the sustained deal activity.

Fundraising activity also remained in line with long-term trends, with $15.4bn of venture capital money invested in the sector globally across 572 deals in the first three quarters of the year.

“Enterprises recognise that they must continue hardening their security defences to keep above water in the arms race between good and bad,” said Florian Depner, director of ICON Corporate Finance. “Cybersecurity is mission-critical and companies have no choice but to keep investing given the uplift in malicious activity, and state-backed attacks.

“We also anticipate that Private Equity will continue injecting much-needed growth fuel into later-stage scale-up companies; a trend demonstrated by the BlackRock-backed $250m (£221.7m) investment in Swiss-based storage management and personal backup services provider Acronis.

“These factors, combined with Private Equity backing buy-and-build strategies and vendor platform consolidation, and the fact that the three-year cyber security index for public sector stocks rose 61.5%, while NASDAQ rose just 35.5%, makes cybersecurity players undeniably desirable.”

Going forward, ICON predicts that consolidation will continue at pace as trade and PE acquirers are ready to capitalise on market opportunities.

Report: Cybersecurity Sector Update – Q3 2022

Latam the latest airline to file for bankruptcy protection

BY Richard Summerfield

Latam Airlines Group SA, Latin America’s largest air carrier, has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in New York after the COVID-19 pandemic grounded flights across the region.

“Latam entered the COVID-19 pandemic as a healthy and profitable airline group, yet exceptional circumstances have led to a collapse in global demand and has not only brought aviation to a virtual standstill, but it has also changed the industry for the foreseeable future,” said Roberto Alvo, chief executive of Latam.

He continued: “We have implemented a series of difficult measures to mitigate the impact of this unprecedented industry disruption, but ultimately this path represents the best option to lay the right foundation for the future of our airline group. We are looking ahead to a post-COVID-19 future and are focused on transforming our group to adapt to a new and evolving way of flying, with the health and safety of our passengers and employees being paramount.”

The airline will continue to fly while it is in bankruptcy protection. Its affiliates in Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay were not included in the Chapter 11 filing, though affiliates in Chile, Peru, Colombia, Ecuador and the US were.

To help fund its continued operations throughout the bankruptcy period, the company has secured funding from a number of its major shareholders, including the Cueto and Amaro families and Qatar Airways. In total, the company has secured around $900m in debtor-in-possession (DIP) financing.

However, the company has given no indication whether its largest shareholder, Delta Air Lines, which holds 20 percent of the company, will help. The airline noted in its statement: “To the extent permitted by law, the group would welcome other shareholders interested in participating in this process to provide additional financing.” The airline also noted that it had about $1.3bn in cash on hand.

Latam has struggled since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. In mid-March, it cut 90 percent of its flights and by April was down to just five routes. Earlier this month, Latam confirmed that it would lay off 3 percent of its workforce, some 1400 employees.

Of course, the company is not the only airline to suffer. Fellow South American airline Avianca has already filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, while Virgin Australia entered voluntary administration last month.

News: Latam Air Files Chapter 11 Bankruptcy, Stymied by Lockdowns

Global insurance M&A hits four-year high

BY Richard Summerfield

The level of global insurance industry M&A has increased considerably in recent years, according to Clyde & Co’s ‘Insurance Growth Report 2019’.

There were 222 completed insurance M&A deals worldwide in the first half of 2019, up from 196 in the second half of 2018, a 13.2 percent increase – the highest increase in the volume of transactions since the first half of 2015. The figure also represents the fourth consecutive six-month period of M&A growth. Mega-deals have continued to be a factor in dealmaking in the insurance space, with 11 deals in H1 2019 valued at over $1bn. There were 18 in the whole of 2018.

“Despite recent signs of market hardening, delivering a positive result for shareholders remains challenging and M&A is an attractive strategy to deliver growth for re/insurance businesses around the world,” said Ivor Edwards, a partner and European head of the corporate insurance group at Clyde & Co.

Europe has seen a rush of completed deals that had been put on hold due to Brexit preparations, the report notes. Europe saw the biggest increase in M&A activity – up 39.7 percent – with 88 completed deals in H1 2019 compared to 64 in H2 2018. France led Europe in terms of insurance M&A activity and was the second most active country worldwide, just behind the US. The UK and Spain were next in the list.

Away from Europe, dealmakers have been buoyed by a combination of strong economic growth, notably in the US, and positive growth prospects for the insurance sector. In the Asia-Pacific region, 38 insurance M&A deals were recorded during H1 2019, marking the fourth straight period of rising deal volume to the highest level since 2015. Japan led the region in terms of deals made, followed by Australia and India.

Though the US remains the world’s most active nation in terms of M&A volume, it saw its third consecutive drop in H1 2019, with 66 deals completed. Geopolitical and financial uncertainty relating to potential trade wars involving the US may have rattled investors and could make dealmakers more cautious in the second half of 2019.

Report: Insurance Growth Report 2019